Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
58%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
58%
Away Win
60%
-2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 64%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.11/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.85
+42% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
214 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
22.06.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.10.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
02.06.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
19.09.2015 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-3 HT 0-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
23.05.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0-1
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr edged past Naftan Novopolotsk 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 29% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 71%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 1.00 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 18%, draw 24%, Slavia Mozyr 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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