Xi Mang Hai Phong 4-2 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.54/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.52
-17% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Binh Duong
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-1 HT 1-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
16.06.2024 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-1 HT 2-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
04.11.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
04.02.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-2 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
19.10.2022 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-1 HT 1-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
13.03.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-2 HT 1-2 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong
4-2
AWAY Binh Duong
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xi Mang Hai Phong got the better of Binh Duong 4-2. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xi Mang Hai Phong as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Xi Mang Hai Phong had 47% of the ball to Binh Duong's 53%, shots finished 20-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Xi Mang Hai Phong and 1.33 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong?

Xi Mang Hai Phong 4-2 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xi Mang Hai Phong win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Xi Mang Hai Phong 49%, draw 26%, Binh Duong 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong) ✗ Under 2.5
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