FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Jul 2024

📅15/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.29
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
73%
-18.6pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +27%
1.80/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.95
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.6 Crosses 14.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.26 xG 0.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
331 Passes 242
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
20.08.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-2 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
28.05.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-3 HT 2-2 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
04.08.2021 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-4 HT 2-3 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
17.05.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-3 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
22.08.2020 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-0 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3-1
AWAY HK Kopavogur
2.06 xG 0.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 2
309 Passes 161
75% Pass Accuracy 57%
36 Box Touches 11
37 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur got the better of HK Kopavogur 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FH Hafnarfjordur as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 60% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 40%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.06 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.67 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs HK Kopavogur?

FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 54%, draw 23%, HK Kopavogur 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
15 Jul 2024
22:15 Fylkir vs İA Akranes Analysis →