Fylkir 3-0 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Jul 2024

📅15/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.7pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.53/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.72
+42% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +100%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
18.2 Crosses 36.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
1W-1D-4L
AWAY İA Akranes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.85 xG 2.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
337 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 5-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
19.09.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 5-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
20.06.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
15.08.2020 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
06.07.2019 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
05.05.2019 Fylkir Fylkir 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
3-0
AWAY İA Akranes
2.20 xG 1.08
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
206 Passes 365
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 33
22 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir cruised past İA Akranes 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fylkir found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

On the day, Fylkir had 40% of the ball to İA Akranes's 60%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.20 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fylkir and 3.00 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs İA Akranes?

Fylkir 3-0 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated an İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 34%, draw 26%, İA Akranes 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (İA Akranes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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