Lincoln Red Imps 1-0 Vikingur Gota — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 29% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln Red Imps EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur Gota EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln Red Imps
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vikingur Gota
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2025 Vikingur Gota Vikingur Gota 2-3 HT 2-3 Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln Red Imps
1-0
AWAY Vikingur Gota
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lincoln Red Imps vs Vikingur Gota
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln Red Imps nicked a narrow win over Vikingur Gota 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lincoln Red Imps as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lincoln Red Imps had 53% of the ball to Vikingur Gota's 47%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Lincoln Red Imps vs Vikingur Gota?

Lincoln Red Imps 1-0 Vikingur Gota in the Champions League on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln Red Imps vs Vikingur Gota?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln Red Imps win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lincoln Red Imps 44%, draw 29%, Vikingur Gota 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln Red Imps), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln Red Imps) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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