Shkendija 79 2-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shkendija 79 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.09
+137% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shkendija 79
1W-1D-1L
AWAY The New Saints
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 0-0 HT 0-0 Shkendija 79 Shkendija 79 ŞMP
17.07.2018 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 3-0 Shkendija 79 Shkendija 79 ŞMP
10.07.2018 Shkendija 79 Shkendija 79 5-0 HT 2-0 The New Saints The New Saints ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shkendija 79
2-1
AWAY The New Saints
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shkendija 79 vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shkendija 79 squeezed past The New Saints 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shkendija 79 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Shkendija 79 had 59% of the ball to The New Saints's 41%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shkendija 79 and 1.33 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Shkendija 79 vs The New Saints?

Shkendija 79 2-1 The New Saints in the Champions League on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shkendija 79 vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shkendija 79 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shkendija 79 51%, draw 27%, The New Saints 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shkendija 79), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shkendija 79) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
15 Jul 2025
18:00 Kairat vs Olimpija Ljubljana Analysis →
18:30 Lincoln Red Imps vs Vikingur Gota Analysis →
20:00 Rigas Skola vs FC Levadia Analysis →
20:00 Milsami vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
20:00 Hamrun Spartans vs Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis →
20:00 Malmö FF vs Saburtalo Analysis →