Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.07.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
2-0
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans saw off Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 63% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 37%, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Champions League on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 43%, draw 25%, Zalgiris Vilnius 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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