Caen 3-4 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Jul 2026

📅15/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 32%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-86% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2026 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 0-3 HT 0-1 Caen Caen FR3
07.11.2025 Caen Caen 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
POST-MATCH Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico edged past Caen 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Paris 13 Atletico made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caen and 0.00 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Caen 3-4 Paris 13 Atletico in the Friendlies on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caen 39%, draw 33%, Paris 13 Atletico 29%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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