Jablonec 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Jul 2026

📅15/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
440 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
1-0
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec squeezed past Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Jablonec 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Friendlies on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 43%, draw 25%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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