AGF Aarhus 2-0 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Jul 2026

📅15/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
18%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
61%
+5.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.30/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.21
+15% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
5W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 1.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
285 Passes 251
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.07.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-1 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens HAZ
30.06.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-0 HT 0-3 AC Horsens AC Horsens HAZ
03.03.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
26.08.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
16.12.2020 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAK
13.12.2020 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-2 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus got the better of AC Horsens 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.67 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

AGF Aarhus 2-0 AC Horsens in the Friendlies on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 66%, draw 20%, AC Horsens 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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