Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 Aug 2024

Athletic Bilbao
1-1 HT 1-0
Getafe
📅15/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.23
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.05
X/1
20%
3.47
X/2
7%
11.9
X/X
17%
4.08
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
8%
11.3
2/X
9%
19.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.65/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.36
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 70%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
25.6 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5

Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Getafe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Getafe Getafe 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
27.09.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-2 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
01.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
18.10.2022 Getafe Getafe 2-2 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
18.03.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
06.12.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
1-1
AWAY Getafe
0.33 xG 0.84
69% Ball Possession 31%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
352 Passes 116
79% Pass Accuracy 60%
10 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao and Getafe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 69% of the ball to Getafe's 31%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.33 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.83 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 49%, draw 31%, Getafe 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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