Real Betis 1-1 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 Aug 2024

Real Betis
1-1 HT 1-0
Girona
📅15/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Betis vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.21
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.0
X/2
13%
6.3
X/X
13%
4.47
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.46
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Girona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.50
+22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.6 Crosses 20.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Real Betis vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Girona
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
428 Passes 414
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Girona Girona 3-2 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
21.12.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
28.05.2023 Girona Girona 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.09.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
20.01.2019 Real Betis Real Betis 3-2 HT 1-2 Girona Girona İS1
27.09.2018 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Betis 1-1 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-1
AWAY Girona
1.44 xG 1.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 507
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis and Girona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Betis had 39% of the ball to Girona's 61%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.44 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Betis and 1.33 for Girona.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Girona?

Real Betis 1-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 41%, draw 28%, Girona 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Betis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5
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