Forge 2-0 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.62/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
+35% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.9 Crosses 12.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
1W-3D-2L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
419 Passes 338
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
15.06.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
30.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-1 Forge Forge CAPL
20.08.2023 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
01.07.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
22.04.2023 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
2-0
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.52 xG 0.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
503 Passes 379
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Forge vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge saw off HFX Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Forge had 55% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 45%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.52 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forge and 1.33 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Forge vs HFX Wanderers?

Forge 2-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Forge 48%, draw 25%, HFX Wanderers 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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