Alianza Atletico 1-1 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
1.57/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.36
+16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.0 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.40 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
22.07.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
20.02.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
08.08.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
26.10.2017 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-2 HT 2-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
29.11.2015 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-1 HT 2-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
1-1
AWAY Cusco FC
1.11 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
215 Passes 144
69% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico and Cusco FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 58% of the ball to Cusco FC's 42%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.11 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.67 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Cusco FC?

Alianza Atletico 1-1 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 40%, draw 33%, Cusco FC 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
15 Aug 2024
23:15 Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca Analysis →