Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.05/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.40
+63% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.2 Crosses 22.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
248 Passes 216
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-3 HT 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
12.06.2021 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PERKB
22.04.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.03.2018 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-3 HT 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
18.09.2017 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
15.06.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
1-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.80 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
213 Passes 215
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos and UTC Cajamarca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was UTC Cajamarca at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 47% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 53%, shots finished 17-24, expected goals 1.80 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.33 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca?

Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated an UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 33%, draw 26%, UTC Cajamarca 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✓ Under 2.5
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