Yunnan Yukun 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.21
Over 2.5
42%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
4.25
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
8%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 36% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.39
X/2
9%
9.98
X/X
16%
5.8
2/1
6%
20.45
2/2
14%
7.31
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.8pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 24%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.65/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.89
+10% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.2 Crosses 16.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.71 xG 2.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
345 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-1 HT 3-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.09 xG 0.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
274 Passes 267
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun nicked a narrow win over Wuhan Three Towns 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 50% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 50%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.09 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yunnan Yukun's control.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Yunnan Yukun 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 47%, draw 27%, Wuhan Three Towns 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
15 Aug 2025
14:35 Shanghai Port vs Henan Jianye Analysis →