Shanghai Port 4-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.14
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.22
2-3 Goals
38%
2.2
4-5 Goals
29%
2.29
6+ Goals
15%
4.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.7
X/1
20%
4.12
X/2
4%
18.25
X/X
6%
9.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
17.55
2/2
5%
13.45
2/X
6%
21.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.55 — our 14% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
72%
-2.7pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.3pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.48
+29% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +63%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
40.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
24.7 Crosses 19.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Henan Jianye
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.72 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 206
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-3 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
05.07.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
30.03.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
25.08.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
24.05.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-2 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
30.11.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-3 HT 1-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
4-1
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.65 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 328
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port ran out comfortable winners over Henan Jianye 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 49% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 51%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.65 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.67 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Henan Jianye?

Shanghai Port 4-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 69%, draw 16%, Henan Jianye 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
15 Aug 2025
15:00 Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns Analysis →