Waasland-Beveren 1-0 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.3pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.1pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.63/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.00
+8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.4 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
3W-2D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
391 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 3-3 HT 2-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
15.09.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-2 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
16.12.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 0-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
13.08.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-0 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
03.02.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-2 HT 1-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
30.10.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-0 HT 2-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1-0
AWAY KRC Genk II
0.99 xG 0.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
382 Passes 307
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren squeezed past KRC Genk II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 54% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.99 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.50 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs KRC Genk II?

Waasland-Beveren 1-0 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 68%, draw 17%, KRC Genk II 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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