RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Aug 2025

RKC Waalwijk
1-1 HT 1-1
Helmond Sport
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

RKC Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
16%
4.19
X/2
8%
9.98
X/X
7%
6.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
19.7
2/2
10%
7.44
2/X
4%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 13% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
2.19/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.76
+6% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
– Crosses 16.4
– Yellow Cards 2.0

RKC Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
22.03.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
17.11.2018 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-2 HT 0-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
28.04.2018 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-2 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
01.12.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.03.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 5-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
23.09.2016 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1-1
AWAY Helmond Sport
0.60 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
332 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk and Helmond Sport shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. RKC Waalwijk carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 50% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 50%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.60 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.00 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport?

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 59%, draw 19%, Helmond Sport 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
15 Aug 2025
21:00 Cambuur vs FC Oss Analysis →
21:00 Roda vs De Graafschap Analysis →
21:00 VVV-Venlo vs PSV II Analysis →