Roda vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roda v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Roda
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Roda
HOL2
3-2
HT 2-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
Roda 1-0 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
Roda nicked a narrow win over De Graafschap 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Roda had 41% of the ball to De Graafschap's 59%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.78 to 1.25 — on chances, De Graafschap could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Roda and 1.83 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Roda vs De Graafschap?
Roda 1-0 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roda vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Roda 42%, draw 23%, De Graafschap 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.