VVV-Venlo 0-2 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.39
No
33%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.81
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
32%
2.41
6+ Goals
17%
5.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.16
1/2
7%
22.8
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
15%
5.89
X/2
11%
6.4
X/X
11%
6.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.3
2/2
15%
3.58
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.7pp
67%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.1pp
33%
BTTS No
32%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.58/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.35
-10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.6 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY PSV II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 0.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 420
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2025 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
20.09.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
02.02.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-2 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
22.09.2023 PSV II PSV II 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
23.01.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
16.09.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
0-2
AWAY PSV II
2.63 xG 2.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
303 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II saw off VVV-Venlo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 51% of the ball to PSV II's 49%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.63 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.17 for PSV II.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs PSV II?

VVV-Venlo 0-2 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 45%, draw 23%, PSV II 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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