PSV II 1-2 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 27 Jan 2025

PSV II
1-2 HT 0-1
VVV-Venlo
📅27/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

PSV II vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.52
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.48
6+ Goals
16%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.07
1/2
10%
24.3
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.73
X/2
14%
6.64
X/X
10%
6.12
2/1
8%
21.35
2/2
15%
3.83
2/X
5%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV II v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +10%
1.48/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.20
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
14.4 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

PSV II vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
426 Passes 319
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.09.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
02.02.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-2 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
22.09.2023 PSV II PSV II 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
23.01.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
16.09.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
14.01.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-4 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2

PSV II 1-2 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
1-2
AWAY VVV-Venlo
0.98 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
364 Passes 202
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo edged past PSV II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; VVV-Venlo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV II had 61% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 39%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.98 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PSV II and 1.17 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of PSV II vs VVV-Venlo?

PSV II 1-2 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split PSV II 39%, draw 23%, VVV-Venlo 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
27 Jan 2025
22:00 Den Bosch vs Utrecht II Analysis →