Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
31%
-7.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+15.3pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -13%
1.26/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.34
+6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
18.9 Crosses 11.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Envigado
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.20 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
268 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
10.10.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
13.02.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
08.11.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
14.07.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 4-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
26.01.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
0-1
AWAY Envigado
1.04 xG 0.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
345 Passes 208
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 8
7 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pasto 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 62% of the ball to Envigado's 38%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.04 to 0.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Pasto.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.50 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Envigado?

Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 53%, draw 24%, Envigado 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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