Mladost Lucani 1-4 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.18
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
72%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
45%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+2.2pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.8pp
72%
Away Win
71%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 75%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.29/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.75
+47% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
15.4 Crosses 24.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.51 xG 2.77
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 12
190 Passes 479
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 52
8 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
30.11.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
27.07.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-2 HT 0-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
08.05.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
09.12.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 1-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
11.08.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-4 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-4
AWAY Kızılyıldız
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız swept aside Mladost Lucani 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 28% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 72%, shots finished 10-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mladost Lucani and 2.50 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Kızılyıldız?

Mladost Lucani 1-4 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 14%, draw 15%, Kızılyıldız 72%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5
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