Kızılyıldız 3-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-15.5pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.7pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +16%
2.73/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.30
+50% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
27.2 Crosses 12.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.87 xG 0.55
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
503 Passes 195
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
52 Box Touches 10
43 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
27.07.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-2 HT 0-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
08.05.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
09.12.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 1-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
11.08.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-4 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
06.11.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
3-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
2.71 xG 0.74
68% Ball Possession 32%
28 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 2
408 Passes 167
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
53 Box Touches 13
39 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız got the better of Mladost Lucani 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 68% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 32%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 2.71 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.67 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Mladost Lucani?

Kızılyıldız 3-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 69%, draw 19%, Mladost Lucani 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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