IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.49/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.01
-29% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.3 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.56 xG 0.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
303 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRBK
09.12.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 3-2 HT 1-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
08.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
06.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-2 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
2-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.83 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
295 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 51% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 49%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.83 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.20 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 41%, draw 26%, Napredak Krusevac 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd)
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