Napredak Krusevac 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-2D-2L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.89 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
288 Passes 303
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 3-2 HT 1-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
08.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
06.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-2 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac squeezed past IMT Novi Beograd 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Napredak Krusevac made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 48% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 52%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 2.25 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Napredak Krusevac 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 36%, draw 26%, IMT Novi Beograd 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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