IMT Novi Beograd 3-2 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 24%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.69/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.18
-61% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
25.3 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.44 xG 0.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
294 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
08.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
06.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-2 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
3-2
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.94 xG 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
330 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd edged past Napredak Krusevac 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 55% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 45%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 1.94 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 0.67 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

IMT Novi Beograd 3-2 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 46%, draw 25%, Napredak Krusevac 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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