Kızılyıldız 2-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
82%
-11.4pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.8pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.47/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.66
+43% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -52%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Novi Pazar
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.27 xG 0.72
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
416 Passes 228
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-7 HT 1-4 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
10.08.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.02.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-3 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
02.09.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
12.03.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-1 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
11.09.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
2-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız squeezed past Novi Pazar 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 70% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 30%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.83 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Novi Pazar?

Kızılyıldız 2-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 71%, draw 16%, Novi Pazar 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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