Novi Pazar 1-7 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-10.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 75%
+20% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.19/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.64
+32% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +32%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
198 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.5
15.5 Crosses 24.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.59 xG 2.10
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
209 Passes 399
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.02.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-3 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
02.09.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
12.03.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-1 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
11.09.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
11.05.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 8-0 HT 5-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
1-7
AWAY Kızılyıldız
1.37 xG 3.12
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
322 Passes 499
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız ran out comfortable winners over Novi Pazar 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 40% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 60%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.37 to 3.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Novi Pazar and 4.00 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız?

Novi Pazar 1-7 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 18%, draw 21%, Kızılyıldız 61%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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