Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.31/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.08
+8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.6 Crosses 18.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 358
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-1 HT 2-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
17.03.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
06.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
09.05.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
23.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
26.08.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-2 HT 1-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-1
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.59 xG 0.87
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
143 Passes 468
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac edged past Radnicki Nis 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Napredak Krusevac found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 29% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 71%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 1.59 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.50 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 34%, draw 28%, Radnicki Nis 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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