Southend United 1-0 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.07
Over
47%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.74
2-3
38%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.01
6+
11%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.6
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
15%
4.77
X/2
8%
7.8
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1
11%
22.5
2/2
10%
5.55
2/X
10%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.5 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United The Market 30%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.57 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.46
0.97 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.53
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
186 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
211 Passes 186
60% Pass Accuracy 58%
17 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2026 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
07.02.2026 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
27.09.2025 Southend United Southend United 0-2 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İBSL
22.10.2022 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İBSL
20.03.2021 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İN2
12.12.2020 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
1-0
AWAY Scunthorpe United
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Southend United vs Scunthorpe United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Southend United came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Scunthorpe United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. At 1.72 (~58%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Southend United against 0.83 for Scunthorpe United.

Southend United vs Scunthorpe United Result & Final Score

Southend United 1-0 Scunthorpe United in the England - National League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Southend United vs Scunthorpe United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Southend United 46%, draw 29%, Scunthorpe United 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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