Stockton Town 1-1 Leek Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leek Town The Market 31%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.66/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.29
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Leek Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2026 Leek Town Leek Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Stockton Town Stockton Town İNGNLP
02.12.2025 Stockton Town Stockton Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Leek Town Leek Town İNGNLP
29.01.2025 Stockton Town Stockton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leek Town Leek Town İNGNLP
10.08.2024 Leek Town Leek Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Stockton Town Stockton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Leek Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town and Leek Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Stockton Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stockton Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockton Town and 0.50 for Leek Town.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Leek Town?

Stockton Town 1-1 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Leek Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 47%, draw 25%, Leek Town 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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