Verl 2-4 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Aug 2026

Verl
2 - 4 HT 1 - 0
MSV Duisburg
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.87
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.05
Over
57%
1.7
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.16
2-3
45%
1.85
4-5
26%
2.92
6+
8%
8.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.59
1/2
3%
22.9
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
11%
7.04
X/2
15%
5.3
X/X
15%
5.22
2/1
2%
29.5
2/2
25%
2.95
2/X
6%
12.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Verl The Market 35%
Signal
AWAY MSV Duisburg The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.72
1.42 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
516 Passes 92
86% Pass Accuracy 50%
22 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2026 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 4-2 HT 3-1 Verl Verl AL3
30.08.2025 Verl Verl 2-3 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
10.02.2024 Verl Verl 1-3 HT 1-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
15.09.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-3 HT 2-1 Verl Verl AL3
18.03.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 3-3 HT 2-2 Verl Verl AL3
18.09.2022 Verl Verl 1-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
2 - 4
AWAY MSV Duisburg
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Verl vs MSV Duisburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

MSV Duisburg beat Verl 4-2 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) landed.

On the day, Verl had 49% of the ball to MSV Duisburg's 51%, shots finished 5-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Verl and 2.50 for MSV Duisburg.

Verl vs MSV Duisburg Result & Final Score

Verl 2 - 4 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Verl vs MSV Duisburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Verl 30%, draw 27%, MSV Duisburg 43%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
15 Aug 2026
15:00 Rot-Weiss Essen vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 Meppen vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach Analysis →
15:00 Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen Analysis →
15:00 Preussen Münster vs Ingolstadt Analysis →
15:00 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hoffenheim II Analysis →