Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Aug 2026

Borussia Dortmund
2-2 HT 2-2
Roma
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Borussia Dortmund vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.29
Over Pick
67%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.51
2-3
35%
1.89
4-5 ✓
32%
2.79
6+
16%
7.74
Value flag · 4-5 at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.56
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.86
X/2
6%
7.74
X/X
7%
5.81
2/1 ✗
9%
21.0
2/2
13%
5.22
2/X
4%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
40%
-6.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
60%
+6.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.4pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund v Roma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma The Market 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.55/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.94
+2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 84%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
14.6 Crosses 10.3
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Borussia Dortmund vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Roma
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
22.07.2007 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4-0 HT 2-0 Roma Roma HAZ

Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Roma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
2-2
AWAY Roma
2.72 xG 0.91
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 436
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund and Roma couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

This one beat our numbers. Borussia Dortmund carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.72 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Roma?

Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Roma in the Friendlies on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 55%, draw 20%, Roma 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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