Hoek 3-1 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Hoek win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
59%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoek The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC The Market 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.60/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.87
-25% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoek
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2026 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 2-1 HT 2-1 Hoek Hoek HOLTW
23.08.2025 Hoek Hoek 2-0 HT 0-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoek
3-1
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoek vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoek beat Koninklijke HFC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hoek as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoek and 1.00 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of Hoek vs Koninklijke HFC?

Hoek 3-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoek vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoek win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hoek 60%, draw 23%, Koninklijke HFC 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoek), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
15 Aug 2026
16:00 Jong Sparta vs ROHDA Raalte Analysis →
16:00 BVV Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →
16:00 Kozakken Boys vs Ijsselmeervogels Analysis →
16:00 Quick Boys vs RKAV Volendam Analysis →
16:00 SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk Analysis →
16:15 AFC Amsterdamsche vs Kloetinge Analysis →