Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Hoek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.9
Over
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
36%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoek The Market 48%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.26/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-11% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.08.2025 Hoek Hoek 2-0 HT 0-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
2-1
AWAY Hoek
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC nicked a narrow win over Hoek 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hoek at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 47% of the ball to Hoek's 53%, shots finished 15-20.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek?

Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Hoek in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoek win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 31%, draw 27%, Hoek 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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