SV Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SV Spakenburg v Jong Sparta — Team-Based Signals
SV Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
SV Spakenburg 1-1 Jong Sparta — Actual Match Statistics
SV Spakenburg and Jong Sparta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had SV Spakenburg at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.
On the day, SV Spakenburg had 55% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 45%, shots finished 26-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for SV Spakenburg and 1.40 for Jong Sparta.
What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta?
SV Spakenburg 1-1 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta?
Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 59%, draw 22%, Jong Sparta 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.