AFC Amsterdamsche 1-0 Ijsselmeervogels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.1
Over Pick
65%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.63
No
35%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
34%
4-5
32%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.9pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-5.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
44%
-8.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
56%
+8.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
57%
+8.2pp
35%
BTTS No
43%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels The Market 31%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.96/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/2.20
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.27 xG 1.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 262
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Ijsselmeervogels Ijsselmeervogels 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
28.09.2019 Ijsselmeervogels Ijsselmeervogels 5-1 HT 1-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
25.05.2019 Ijsselmeervogels Ijsselmeervogels 2-1 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1-0
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Ijsselmeervogels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche edged past Ijsselmeervogels 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Amsterdamsche as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 44% of the ball to Ijsselmeervogels's 56%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ijsselmeervogels led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 2.33 for Ijsselmeervogels.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Ijsselmeervogels?

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-0 Ijsselmeervogels in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Ijsselmeervogels?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 46%, draw 32%, Ijsselmeervogels 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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