BVV Barendrecht 4-1 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.21
Over
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
36%
4-5
28%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg The Market 53%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.63/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.08
+26% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
1W-0D-4L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.73 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
248 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 3-0 HT 1-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
11.01.2025 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 3-1 HT 0-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
17.08.2024 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 2-1 HT 2-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
02.03.2019 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 2-1 HT 0-1 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
03.02.2018 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 3-1 HT 1-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
4-1
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht cruised past HHC Hardenberg 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was HHC Hardenberg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 39% of the ball to HHC Hardenberg's 61%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BVV Barendrecht and 2.40 for HHC Hardenberg.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg?

BVV Barendrecht 4-1 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 29%, draw 22%, HHC Hardenberg 49%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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