BVV Barendrecht 2-1 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
50%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.1
Over Pick
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
50%
Away Win
41%
+9.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg The Market 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
0W-0D-2L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.73 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
248 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2019 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 2-1 HT 0-1 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
03.02.2018 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 3-1 HT 1-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht edged past HHC Hardenberg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was HHC Hardenberg at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BVV Barendrecht and 2.50 for HHC Hardenberg.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg?

BVV Barendrecht 2-1 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 30%, draw 20%, HHC Hardenberg 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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