AFC Amsterdamsche 1-1 ACV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.23
Over
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
40%
4-5
28%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
62%
-13.9pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY ACV The Market 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.54/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.27
+34% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
2W-0D-0L
AWAY ACV
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
11.05.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-0 HT 0-0 ACV HOLTW
02.12.2023 ACV 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche and ACV couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 0.00 for ACV.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs ACV?

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-1 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs ACV?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 48%, draw 28%, ACV 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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