Rijnsburgse Boys 4-2 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.33
Over Pick
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City The Market 32%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.75/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.57
-61% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
18.05.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
09.12.2023 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 HT 0-1 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys got the better of Jong Almere City 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Rijnsburgse Boys found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 1.00 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Almere City?

Rijnsburgse Boys 4-2 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 38%, draw 27%, Jong Almere City 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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