ADO 20 0-1 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.03
Over Pick
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO 20 The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk The Market 56%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.68/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.18
+36% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO 20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Katwijk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 4-2 HT 3-0 ADO 20 ADO 20 HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO 20
0-1
AWAY Katwijk
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADO 20 vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk squeezed past ADO 20 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, ADO 20 had 34% of the ball to Katwijk's 66%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of ADO 20 vs Katwijk?

ADO 20 0-1 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO 20 vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ADO 20 28%, draw 28%, Katwijk 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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