Katwijk 4-2 ADO 20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.33
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.51
Over
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Katwijk win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.5pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.7pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO 20 The Market 18%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.63/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.76
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +142%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
4-2
AWAY ADO 20
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs ADO 20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk saw off ADO 20 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Katwijk had 53% of the ball to ADO 20's 47%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs ADO 20?

Katwijk 4-2 ADO 20 in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs ADO 20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 57%, draw 23%, ADO 20 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ BTTS No
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