Jong Sparta 1-2 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.51
Over Pick
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
33%
4-5
34%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.9pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV The Market 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.42/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.00
-70% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY GVVV
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-3 HT 0-2 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
1-2
AWAY GVVV
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV edged past Jong Sparta 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day GVVV made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 35% of the ball to GVVV's 65%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs GVVV?

Jong Sparta 1-2 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated an GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 32%, draw 33%, GVVV 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GVVV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GVVV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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