HHC Hardenberg 3-1 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.21
Over Pick
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
41%
4-5
31%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht The Market 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.97/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.25
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2W-0D-1L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
290 Passes 248
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 2-1 HT 2-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
02.03.2019 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 2-1 HT 0-1 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
03.02.2018 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 3-1 HT 1-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
3-1
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg got the better of BVV Barendrecht 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HHC Hardenberg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 55% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 45%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 1.33 for BVV Barendrecht.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs BVV Barendrecht?

HHC Hardenberg 3-1 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 47%, draw 28%, BVV Barendrecht 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HHC Hardenberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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