Excelsior Maassluis 0-0 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.75
Over
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
40%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC The Market 48%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.02/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.60
-24% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +103%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.08.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 3-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
20.04.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
10.02.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-3 HT 0-2 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-0
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis and Koninklijke HFC fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Koninklijke HFC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 48% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Koninklijke HFC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.33 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Koninklijke HFC?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-0 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 34%, draw 23%, Koninklijke HFC 43%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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