ACV 3-2 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
50%
Away Win
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche The Market 55%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.13/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.95
-8% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
0W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
17.08.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 1-1 HT 1-1 ACV HOLTW
11.05.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-0 HT 0-0 ACV HOLTW
02.12.2023 ACV 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
3-2
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ACV vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV edged past AFC Amsterdamsche 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ACV had 46% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 54%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for ACV and 2.00 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of ACV vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

ACV 3-2 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ACV 22%, draw 28%, AFC Amsterdamsche 50%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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