GVVV 3-0 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
44%
4-5
27%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.2pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta The Market 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.77/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/2.73
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Jong Sparta
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 1-2 HT 1-1 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
16.12.2023 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-3 HT 0-2 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
3-0
AWAY Jong Sparta
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH GVVV vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV cruised past Jong Sparta 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GVVV as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, GVVV had 53% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 47%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, GVVV had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for GVVV and 0.50 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of GVVV vs Jong Sparta?

GVVV 3-0 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split GVVV 46%, draw 25%, Jong Sparta 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GVVV), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GVVV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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